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Two comparisons, both shown. The national basis ranks Grand Traverse County against every scored U.S. county — its percentile band above is a relative national standing, not a condition. The in-state basis ranks it against Michigan's other counties (rank and percentile only — bands aren't meaningful within a single state). A county can stand out in its own state while sitting mid-pack nationally. Neither is a forecast.

Pillar breakdown — national percentile ranks

What this means for Grand Traverse County

Grand Traverse County scores 38.9 on the national CAERI basis — 2696th of 3,142 scored U.S. counties, placing it in the Bottom 25% band nationally by percentile, with a medium-confidence rating. Within Michigan it ranks 61st of 83 counties (27th in-state percentile). The score summarizes how concentrated local employment is in AI-exposed occupations against the economy's measured capacity to adapt; these are relative-standing bands, not a projection of local job change.

Direct occupational exposure stands at the 74th national percentile. The largest concentrations of locally estimated employment in high-exposure occupations are office clerks, general, bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks, accountants and auditors. The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 is 7% — well below the state median of 9%; research on AI-era payrolls finds early-career roles in exposed work are where hiring patterns shift first, so this share indicates how soon exposure could be felt, not how large it is.

The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55 and over is 27% (near the state median) — a higher share historically means slower workforce adjustment when industries restructure. Fiscal sensitivity ranks at the 47th percentile among Michigan's counties. Census of Governments data shows state aid at 36% of this county's general revenue (well above the state median), and wage- and consumption-sensitive streams (sales, income, and similar own-source taxes, where levied) at 0% of own-source revenue. Property taxes, which respond to economic change more slowly, are counted separately and are not part of that sensitive share. How this state's aid formulas and tax structure carry economic change into local budgets is covered in the state-specific fiscal analysis available to subscribers. All county occupation figures on this page are model-based ESTIMATES with the confidence rating shown above.

Largest locally-estimated employment in high-exposure occupations

Across all 214 high-exposure occupations (top quartile of ensemble exposure) with estimated local employment, Grand Traverse County has an estimated 13,882 jobs — 26.1% of county employment — carrying an estimated $872M annual wage bill in high-exposure work. The five largest:

Age structure of exposed-industry employment

Cite this page

Machine-readable: this county's JSON · national dataset download and data dictionary on the methodology page.

Nearby and comparable counties

Mackinac Co., MI (in state)Cass Co., MI (in state)Barry Co., MI (in state)Sherman Co., TX (similar score)Tunica Co., MS (similar score)Clark Co., KS (similar score)

Links point to the economically nearest counties (in-state, and similar national score). County-level geographic adjacency is not part of the public reference data, so proximity here is by rank, not by shared border.

Sources & provenance